Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2.120130 2.424063 2.757465 3.150548 3.601634 4.103458 4.704602
2025-07-27 1.685706 2.103763 2.604913 3.250959 4.063378 5.053361 6.354748
2025-08-03 1.409524 1.867036 2.449666 3.248126 4.317449 5.705100 7.650857
2025-08-10 1.209669 1.681765 2.313293 3.223118 4.506097 6.259391 8.852401
2025-08-17 1.049233 1.520672 2.178600 3.168255 4.627543 6.713344 9.944649
2025-08-24 0.954240 1.435717 2.133770 3.225502 4.901714 7.397163 11.429868
2025-08-31 0.874209 1.360831 2.091266 3.275013 5.160967 8.075482 12.971892
2025-09-07 0.790550 1.269497 2.011620 3.254210 5.302366 8.578286 14.282793
2025-09-14 0.711041 1.175170 1.915814 3.194072 5.368684 8.960092 15.426938
2025-09-21 0.648082 1.100568 1.842953 3.161426 5.472578 9.407199 16.721127
2025-09-28 0.590680 1.029039 1.767300 3.114371 5.543412 9.799426 17.953393
2025-10-05 0.581223 1.038755 1.829737 3.312654 6.063708 11.025433 20.825287
2025-10-12 0.536287 0.985332 1.783982 3.326011 6.276543 11.768521 22.982444
2025-10-19 0.507755 0.959543 1.786628 3.432267 6.682140 12.929820 26.129735
2025-10-26 0.468166 0.908217 1.735799 3.429268 6.873906 13.699376 28.589661
2025-11-02 0.430346 0.855913 1.677029 3.402822 7.013701 14.378646 30.947169
2025-11-09 0.393292 0.800970 1.606988 3.344804 7.080160 14.912758 33.059835
2025-11-16 0.372456 0.776577 1.595140 3.405343 7.402148 16.017532 36.574394
2025-11-23 0.352679 0.752181 1.580500 3.457702 7.711451 17.129154 40.251510
2025-11-30 0.328001 0.714700 1.534389 3.435702 7.851645 17.880253 43.181935
2025-12-07 0.302205 0.672095 1.472883 3.372106 7.888623 18.398905 45.618614
2025-12-14 0.281155 0.637910 1.426382 3.337583 7.989169 19.076350 48.539097
2025-12-21 0.260886 0.603452 1.375816 3.287824 8.046973 19.657157 51.290833